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NG · ECONOMYBusiness · Closes 3 Jan

Will the naira end the year stronger than it started?

40%
think yes45 calls

How it resolves: Compares the official closing rate on the first and last trading days of the year.

What's your call?

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You can change your call until it closes. Changes show up in how the community shifts.

How the community shifted

20 days ago · 36%Today · 40%

13 people changed their call this week.

How sure people are

0% · sure it won'tsure it will · 100%Middle call: about 45%

Where it splits

Ghana36%
Nigeria40%
Kenya40%
South Africa38%

Abuja says 44%, Lagos says 32%.

Ghana 15 · Nigeria 13 · Kenya 11 · South Africa 6 calls. Groups under 5 calls are hidden.

Why people said what they did

@kojo.a · 30% yes · 85% calibratedThe timing just does not work.
@sipho.m · 48% yes · 88% calibratedHonestly a coin flip right now.
@atieno.t · 40% yes · 72% calibratedCould go either way, waiting for more news.
@tolu.k · 21% yes · 81% calibratedSame thing was predicted last year and it did not happen.
@bisi.k · 41% yes · 81% calibratedLeaning slightly, but not confident.
@yaw.reads · 42% yes · 87% calibratedLeaning slightly, but not confident.
@kwesi.k · 79% yes · 79% calibratedHard to see what stops it now.
@adwoa.reads · 35% yes · 86% calibratedHonestly a coin flip right now.

Discussion

@abena.o · 52% · 2dMy whole group chat disagrees with me on this.
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Based on 45 people on WhoGoWin. This is a community sample, not a representative poll.

Will the naira end the year stronger than it started? · WhoGoWin